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The Grounds of an Opinion on the Policy of Restricting the Importation of Foreign Corn — обложка книги
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The Grounds of an Opinion on the Policy of Restricting the Importation of Foreign Corn

Автор Thomas Robert Malthus
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Дата написания1970-01-01
Язык книгиen
Возрастное ограничение0+
Жанры
зарубежная деловая литератураличные финансыотношения с клиентамиценные бумаги / инвестициикниги по экономикезарубежная образовательная литературазарубежная старинная литература

Описание

В книге Мальтус аргументирует необходимость ограничения импорта иностранного зерна, ссылаясь на падение цен, влияние французского законодательства и исторические изменения британского законодательства, чтобы защитить сельское хозяйство и стабилизировать экономику.

Главный конфликт / проблема

Нужно ли ограничивать импорт иностранного зерна, чтобы защитить экономику и сельское хозяйство

Ключевые идеи

  • Низкие цены на зерно приводят к потере сельскохозяйственного капитала и замедлению улучшений.
  • Свободный импорт зерна создаёт ценовые колебания и зависимость от Франции.
  • Ограничения поддерживают отечественное производство, обеспечивают стабильность цен и благосостояние населения.

Вывод

Книга приходит к выводу, что в текущих условиях разумнее поддерживать ограничения, чтобы сохранить независимость от внешних поставок, стабилизировать цены и защитить сельское хозяйство.

Кому полезна

  • Экономисты
  • Политики
  • Сельскохозяйственные специалисты
  • Историки

Главные темы

  • Политика ограничения импорта зерна
  • Экономические риски свободной торговли
  • Влияние цен на зерно на сельское хозяйство и национальный долг

Цитаты

  • «The evidence, which has been laid before Parliament, relating to the effects of the present prices of corn, together with the experience of the present year.»
  • «The fall of prices, which had lately taken place, and the alarm of a still further fall, from continued importation, had not only checked all progress of improvement, but had already occasioned a considerable loss of agricultural advances.»

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I firmly believe that, in the actual state of Europe, and under the actual circumstances of our present situation, it is our wisest policy to grow our own average supply of corn; and, in so doing, I feel persuaded that the country has ample resources for a great and continued increase of population, of power, of wealth, and of happiness.

1

Some of my friends were of different opinions as to the side, towards which my arguments most inclined. This I consider as a tolerably fair proof of impartiality.

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2

Mercantile losses are always comparatively partial; but the present losses, occasioned by the unusual combination of low prices, and scanty produce, must inflict a severe blow upon the whole mass of cultivators. There never, perhaps, was known a year more injurious to the interests of agriculture.

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3

At the same time, I certainly now very much wish that some regulation had been adopted last year. It would have saved the nation a great loss of agricultural capital, which it will take some time to recover. But it was impossible to foresee such a year as the present—such a combination, as a very bad harvest, and very low prices.

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4

I have very little doubt that the value of paper in this country has already risen, norwithstanding the increased issues of the Bank. These increased issues I attribute chiefly to the great failures which have taken place among country banks, and the very great purchases which have been made for the continental markets, and, under these circumstances, increased issues might take place, accompanied even by a rise of value. But the currency has not yet recovered itself. The real exchange, during the last year, must have been greatly in our favour, although the nominal exchange is considerably against us. This shews, incontrovertibly, that our currency is still depreciated, in reference to the bullion currencies of the continent. A part, however, of this depreciation may still be owing to the value of bullion in Europe not having yet fallen to its former level.

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5

Calculated at twenty-four livres the pound sterling.

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6

It has been supposed by some, that this law cannot, and will not be executed: but I own I see no grounds for such an opinion. It is difficult to execute prohibitions against the exportation of corn, when it is in great plenty, but not when it is scarce. For ten years before 1757, we had in this country, regularly exported on an average, above 400,000 quarters of wheat, and in that year there was at once an excess of importation. With regard to the alleged impotence of governments in this respect, it appears to me that facts shew their power rather than their weakness. To be convinced of this, it is only necessary to look at the diminished importations from America during the war, and particularly from the Baltic after Bonaparte's decrees. The imports from France and the Baltic in 1810, were by special licences, granted for purposes of revenue. Such licences shewed strength rather than weakness; and might have been refused, if a greater object than revenue had at that time presented itself.

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7

The average is 16 francs, 21 centimes, the Hectolitre. The Hectolitre is about 1-20th less than 3 Winchester bushels, which makes the English quarter come to about 38 shillings.

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8

It appears from the evidence, that the corn from the Baltic is often very heavily taxed, and that this tax is generally raised in proportion to our necessities. In a scarce year in this country we could never get any considerable quantity of corn from the Baltic, without paying an enormous price for it.

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9

By the real growing price of corn I mean the real quantity of labour and capital which has been employed to procure the last additions which have been made to the national produce. In every rich and improving country there is a natural and strong tendency to a constantly increasing price of raw produce, owing to the necessity of employing, progressively, land of an inferior quality. But this tendency may be partially counteracted by great improvements in cultivation, and economy of labour. See this subject treated in An inquiry into the nature and progress of rent, just published.

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10

Sir John Sinclair's Account of the Husbandry of Scotland: and the General Report of Scotland.

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11

"Inquiry into the Nature and Progress of Rent, and the Principles by which it is regulated."

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12

I was not prepared to expect (as I intimated in the Observations) so sudden a fall in the price of labour as has already taken place. This fall has been occasioned, not so much by the low price of corn, as by the sudden stagnation of agricultural work, occasioned by a more sudden check to cultivation than I foresaw.

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